The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–7 on winners spread MAE 9.9 87 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Charleston @ North Carolina +10.3 145.4 81% 86–102 ✓
Duquesne @ Kentucky +10.8 150.6 81% 52–77 ✓
Villanova @ Temple +1.7 146.1 53% 64–68 ✓
SMU @ Dayton +9.2 139.6 80% 62–74 ✓
Bowling Green @ Oakland — — — 87–82 —
Iona @ Hofstra +8.8 144.0 79% 78–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Drexel — — — 59–71 —
Mount St. Mary's @ Coppin State +3.6 144.6 69% 78–83 ✓
McNeese @ Tulane — — — 58–75 —
Northern Iowa @ Richmond — — — 55–68 —
Longwood @ George Mason +3.1 134.0 68% 69–83 ✓
Bryant @ Dartmouth — — — 89–70 —
Belmont @ Furman — — — 74–89 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ Utah — — — 44–72 —
Austin Peay @ Purdue +20.1 142.5 90% 44–63 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Minnesota — — — 54–72 —
Kansas State @ California -4.6 144.6 32% 63–54 ✓
Southern Miss @ Vanderbilt — — — 60–48 —
Florida Atlantic @ Ole Miss — — — 67–80 —
Kennesaw State @ Florida — — — 78–88 —
West Virginia @ Pittsburgh +8.8 142.1 79% 81–56 ✗
Campbell @ NC State — — — 67–73 —
UNC Greensboro @ Miami — — — 65–79 —
Florida State @ UCF +7.0 151.6 73% 54–68 ✓
Clemson @ South Carolina +5.6 148.4 70% 58–60 ✓
Stanford @ Wisconsin +1.9 145.9 62% 50–60 ✓
Mississippi State @ Akron -3.7 138.7 39% 73–54 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor — — — 70–87 —
Fordham @ Arkansas +8.6 146.2 77% 48–74 ✓
Lamar @ TCU — — — 66–77 —
South Florida @ Auburn +15.3 134.2 85% 59–67 ✓
Liberty @ Alabama — — — 59–95 —
East Texas A&M @ Northern Colorado -0.9 135.5 48% 77–80 ✗
Chicago State @ St. Thomas +10.9 139.3 85% 61–83 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ UIC — — — 70–63 —
UTSA @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 55–75 —
Montana @ Xavier +17.8 149.8 88% 64–86 ✓
Colorado @ Grambling — — — 74–83 —
Northern Illinois @ Northwestern — — — 46–63 —
North Carolina A&T @ Iowa — — — 71–112 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Oklahoma +0.5 133.4 48% 58–66 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M +15.4 145.0 86% 58–77 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Missouri +11.0 146.9 82% 85–92 ✓
Princeton @ Navy +17.8 145.0 90% 73–74 ✓
Elon @ East Tennessee State — — — 64–77 —
Georgia @ Wake Forest +8.8 137.4 75% 71–81 ✓
Southern @ Arizona +18.3 151.9 89% 78–95 ✓
Monmouth @ Virginia +14.4 138.9 84% 42–89 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan — — — 83–88 —
Kansas City @ Illinois +13.0 145.3 84% 48–86 ✓
Florida A&M @ Oregon State +12.1 140.3 85% 43–60 ✓
Bradley @ Utah State — — — 62–84 —
South Alabama @ New Mexico — — — 74–80 —
Yale @ Eastern Washington — — — 74–60 —
SE Louisiana @ Colorado State — — — 69–80 —
NJIT @ California Baptist -1.4 138.9 46% 43–59 ✗
Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton -3.3 148.7 43% 71–74 ✗
Portland State @ Portland — — — 91–98 —
Western Illinois @ DePaul +1.8 143.8 44% 74–86 ✓
BYU @ San Diego State +12.3 137.0 84% 75–82 ✓
Long Beach State @ UCLA +5.2 141.1 60% 69–93 ✓
UC Irvine @ Oregon — — — 69–56 —
North Florida @ Washington +18.2 146.1 89% 67–75 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Hawai'i — — — 54–72 —
Green Bay @ Georgetown +11.9 148.2 83% 58–92 ✓
South Carolina State @ Tennessee State — — — 61–80 —
Saint Peter's @ Seton Hall +10.3 141.6 80% 44–80 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Purdue Fort Wayne — — — 76–81 —
Stonehill @ Army — — — 82–77 —
James Madison @ Buffalo -2.0 155.4 45% 97–62 ✓
Cleveland State @ Ohio +8.0 141.0 76% 70–81 ✓
Wright State @ Louisville +7.0 148.5 72% 73–72 ✗
Ball State @ Indiana State — — — 71–83 —
UMass Lowell @ Rutgers +6.9 139.6 68% 65–73 ✓
Jackson State @ Tulsa +7.4 140.3 75% 79–85 ✓
Wagner @ La Salle +2.4 146.2 51% 69–77 ✓
Niagara @ Bucknell — — — 50–68 —
Alcorn State @ Wichita State +12.7 140.5 84% 66–57 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Winthrop — — — 68–76 —
Wofford @ High Point — — — 80–91 —
Presbyterian @ East Carolina +5.2 141.4 67% 57–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Utah Valley +3.4 140.7 68% 69–73 ✓
Texas State @ Rhode Island +4.4 132.2 65% 70–66 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Nevada +11.2 140.0 82% 46–59 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UNLV +13.8 133.4 87% 63–88 ✓
Arkansas State @ LSU — — — 52–61 —
Lafayette @ St. John's +13.5 144.2 85% 68–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.