Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 9.7 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington State @ Boise State -7.4 140.6 23% 61–71 ✗
Binghamton @ Marist — — — 78–75 —
Morgan State @ VCU +15.2 145.5 86% 54–69 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Canisius -1.0 144.7 42% 80–84 ✗
Evansville @ Saint Louis +9.4 148.9 73% 65–83 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Georgia State — — — 59–57 —
Hartford @ Saint Francis +10.7 140.4 84% 53–77 ✓
UAlbany @ Siena +7.8 143.1 77% 62–75 ✓
Illinois State @ Northwestern State +2.0 133.0 59% 69–67 ✗
Bellarmine @ Morehead State +0.8 140.9 52% 55–62 ✓
Northeastern @ Providence +6.2 140.0 70% 65–89 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Utah Tech — — — 63–69 —
New Mexico State @ UTEP — — — 64–67 —
UC Davis @ Loyola Marymount -1.8 147.1 36% 75–85 ✗
Sacramento State @ UC San Diego +1.1 139.3 55% 65–55 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati +12.8 134.6 83% 69–87 ✓
Columbia @ Sacred Heart +12.3 140.2 86% 85–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Central Connecticut -6.7 156.9 22% 72–70 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Iowa State +24.9 148.0 91% 43–80 ✓
Colorado @ Tennessee +2.3 138.5 59% 78–66 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Central Michigan +6.3 142.9 70% 60–76 ✓
Pacific @ North Dakota State +2.3 147.8 64% 91–86 ✗
Harvard @ Elon +0.1 140.2 50% 92–77 ✗
VMI @ Davidson +13.7 149.5 87% 71–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State +11.8 130.9 82% 47–80 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oakland +1.5 145.2 53% 91–62 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ St. Thomas +13.4 137.7 85% 48–84 ✓
Idaho @ Omaha +0.2 140.3 56% 72–79 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas Southern +2.5 144.9 59% 66–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +0.8 146.9 46% 53–71 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming +8.5 144.2 76% 76–72 ✗
American University @ George Mason +4.4 141.5 65% 56–73 ✓
Towson @ Pennsylvania -0.8 134.8 39% 80–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Notre Dame +3.7 155.5 55% 81–88 ✓
Louisiana @ East Tennessee State +0.0 142.6 50% 81–77 ✗
Western Michigan @ Valparaiso +2.9 141.6 63% 65–81 ✓
NJIT @ San Diego +12.7 139.4 87% 64–74 ✓
Alabama State @ Pepperdine +26.8 153.7 91% 62–91 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairleigh Dickinson +8.1 147.0 79% 74–77 ✓
Brown @ Loyola Maryland +10.0 142.9 82% 70–75 ✓
Portland State @ Seattle U +12.3 156.2 84% 71–83 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri +11.0 147.0 81% 53–82 ✓
William & Mary @ Virginia Tech +24.4 141.9 91% 77–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.