Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +29 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -13.4 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -16.1 (+12.9) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -15.1 (+13.9) | 148.8 (-13.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -11.0 (+18.0) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | MIZ 81 – 61 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#268) | -5.5 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#100) | -0.32 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#109) | -0.46 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#199) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 36.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 14.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 39.2% |
Game Analysis
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