Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -25000 LIN +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -31.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -31.2 (-11.2) | 151.3 (-9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -30.0 (-10.0) | 151.8 (-9.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -25.2 (-5.2) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -24.9 (-4.9) | 152.7 (-10.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | MIZ 82 – 53 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 18-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#19) | -10.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#97) | -0.76 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#90) | -2.05 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#138) | 0.430 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 37.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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