Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | USD -1400 NJIT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | USD -21.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -15.0 (-5.0) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -13.6 (-3.6) | 133.4 (+4.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -12.7 (-2.7) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | -7.3 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#47) | -1.39 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#36) | -2.34 (#321) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.062 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 85.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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