Betting Lines
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -130 BELL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -6.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.8 (+6.2) | 140.9 (-23.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -0.3 (+6.7) | 138.8 (-21.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -1.2 (+8.2) | 131.8 (-14.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | MORE 64 – 51 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#257) | 2.3 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#219) | 0.96 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#234) | 0.94 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#99) | 0.250 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 46.7% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.38 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 29.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 12.0% |
| FT Rate | 7.4% | 41.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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