Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -5000 EVAN +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -10.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -13.9 (+4.1) | 149.7 (-1.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -9.4 (+8.6) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 15-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#95) | 5.3 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#123) | 1.90 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#119) | 2.56 (#23) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.56 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 12.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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