He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · November 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money BOIS +110 / WSU -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +10 132 Won
Massey WSU -10.2 (+20.2)
Massey Totals 130.5 (+1.5)
Bradley-Terry 3%
Weighted B-T 1%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -3.4 (+13.4) 132.3 (-0.3) 62%
Baseline ML WSU -6.0 (+16.0) 136.2 (-4.2) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -4.1 (+14.1) 140.6 (-8.6) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2024 WSU 7469 BOIS
Dec 22, 2023 WSU 6661 BOIS
Dec 23, 2021 BOIS 5852 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WSU
Overall 24-10 17-17
Conference 13-5 11-9
Home 14-1 10-4
Away 5-6 4-8
Neutral 5-3 3-5
Last 5 0-1 1-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 71.5 68.4
Avg Pts Against 65.0 65.7
Massey -4.5 (#276) 5.7 (#58)
Bradley-Terry -2.55 (#344) 1.00 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.20 (#339) 1.67 (#47)
RPI 0.000 (#267) 0.750 (#28)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WSU
FG% 46.3% 52.7%
3PT% 21.1% 45.0%
REB / G 31.0 39.0
OREB / G 5.0 14.0
AST / TO 0.57 1.58
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 60.9%
TOV% 19.8% 18.6%
ORB% 17.2% 45.2%
FT Rate 22.2% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.4% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 25.4% 16.8%
DRB% 96.3% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 37.0% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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