I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Idaho Central Arena · December 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -8.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money BOIS -425 / WSU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual WSU +5 143 Lost
Massey BOIS -7.9 (-12.9)
Massey Totals 157.4 (-14.4)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 62%
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -7.7 (-12.7) 150.0 (-7.0) 77%
Baseline ML BOIS -6.9 (-11.9) 150.2 (-7.2) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -7.4 (-12.4) 149.3 (-6.3) 75%
Efficiency Plus ML BOIS -7.3 (-12.3) 148.2 (-5.2) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2023 WSU 6661 BOIS
Nov 13, 2022 BOIS 7161 WSU
Dec 23, 2021 BOIS 5852 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WSU
Overall 26-11 19-15
Conference 14-6 8-10
Home 13-3 10-4
Away 6-5 5-7
Neutral 7-3 4-4
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.1 78.9
Avg Pts Against 67.0 78.6
Massey 11.4 (#46) 8.3 (#71)
Bradley-Terry 1.53 (#69) 2.20 (#46)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.93 (#54) 3.44 (#41)
RPI 0.602 (#48) 0.617 (#37)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WSU
FG% 47.5% 47.3%
3PT% 32.6% 35.2%
REB / G 37.3 38.6
OREB / G 10.4 11.7
AST / TO 1.61 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 55.3%
TOV% 15.0% 20.3%
ORB% 32.6% 34.1%
FT Rate 35.0% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 17.3%
DRB% 74.6% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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