Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +333 OKST -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +29 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -6.0 (-35.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.6 (-30.6) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -0.8 (-29.8) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.5 (-30.5) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | OAK 56 – 55 OKST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | OKST 84 – 71 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#312) | -2.0 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#325) | -1.22 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#325) | -1.25 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | 0.700 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 48.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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