Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -600 NAU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -14.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.5 (-0.5) | 138.1 (+3.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.4 (+0.6) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | UVU 80 – 75 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 12-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#176) | -1.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#242) | -0.91 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#215) | -1.22 (#274) |
| RPI | — | 0.312 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.8% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.2% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 15.9% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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