Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -5000 GB +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +34 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -15.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -15.7 (+18.3) | 149.3 (+0.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -11.9 (+22.1) | 148.2 (+1.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 2-18 |
| Home | 5-12 | 2-10 |
| Away | 1-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | -4.3 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#151) | -0.43 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#139) | -0.65 (#232) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 18.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 8.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 85.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 7.0% |
Game Analysis
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