Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | URI -300 TXST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -11.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.5 (-9.5) | 131.7 (+4.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.4 (-8.4) | 132.2 (+3.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 4-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#254) | -2.7 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#281) | -0.43 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#280) | -0.64 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#27) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 11.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 25.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 54.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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