Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -800 JKST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -16.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -7.4 (-1.4) | 140.3 (+23.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -9.4 (-3.4) | 140.1 (+23.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | TLSA 72 – 52 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 7-2 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#85) | 1.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#236) | -0.43 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#177) | -0.57 (#200) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 10.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 28.1% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 84.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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