Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -800 ETAM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.9 (+3.9) | 135.5 (+21.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.4 (+2.6) | 134.9 (+22.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2023 | ETAM 101 – 99 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#291) | -1.0 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#162) | -0.43 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#167) | -0.62 (#213) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 25.6% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.22 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 32.1% | 38.6% |
| TOV% | 37.3% | 11.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 54.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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