Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -111 UNCO -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +2 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -1.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+63.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.3 (+0.7) | 143.2 (+56.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.6 (-0.6) | 139.8 (+60.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.9 (-0.9) | 143.7 (+56.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -2.8 (-0.8) | 143.0 (+57.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | UNCO 80 – 77 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#322) | -6.3 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#200) | -1.19 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#238) | -1.94 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.432 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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