Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -2000 USF +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -21.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -19.3 (-11.3) | 134.9 (-8.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -15.3 (-7.3) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | AUB 58 – 52 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#123) | -5.7 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#64) | -1.86 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#92) | -2.45 (#286) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 16.0% | 21.1% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 22.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 44.9% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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