Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -1400 UNF +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -25.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -20.1 (-12.1) | 142.0 (+0.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -18.2 (-10.2) | 146.1 (-4.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#129) | -10.1 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#116) | -0.20 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#97) | -0.37 (#170) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 27.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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