Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -110 GCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +13 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -16.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -11.2 (+1.8) | 140.0 (-35.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -12.8 (+0.2) | 140.6 (-35.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | NEV 84 – 80 GCU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | NEV 66 – 60 GCU |
| Dec 12, 2020 | GCU 87 – 77 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#160) | -2.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#87) | 0.43 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#103) | 0.54 (#118) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.