Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -180 GCU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -4.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -4.4 (+1.6) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -4.4 (+1.6) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -4.1 (+1.9) | 140.4 (-14.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -4.1 (+1.9) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | NEV 84 – 80 GCU |
| Nov 12, 2022 | NEV 59 – 46 GCU |
| Dec 12, 2020 | GCU 87 – 77 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#72) | 8.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#71) | 1.60 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#66) | 1.94 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#47) | 0.559 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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