Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -1200 NJIT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +16 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -4.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -1.5 (+17.5) | 137.9 (-35.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -1.4 (+17.4) | 138.9 (-36.9) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#294) | -0.0 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#288) | -0.43 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#301) | -0.61 (#211) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 22.9% | 18.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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