Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -333 WAG +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -8.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -2.7 (+5.3) | 145.7 (+0.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -2.4 (+5.6) | 146.2 (-0.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#144) | 5.7 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#203) | 1.86 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#205) | 2.45 (#22) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 11.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 68.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 48.1% |
Game Analysis
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