Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -2000 FAMU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +17 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -21.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -12.9 (+4.1) | 139.6 (-36.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -12.1 (+4.9) | 140.3 (-37.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#229) | -11.0 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#93) | -0.71 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#137) | -1.06 (#271) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 21.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 37.9% |
| TOV% | 27.2% | 27.0% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 58.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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