Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +188 VILL -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | TEM -1.7 (+2.3) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.2 (+2.8) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2025 | VILL 74 – 56 TEM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | VILL 94 – 65 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#263) | -0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#298) | 0.43 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#287) | 0.60 (#106) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 55.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 65.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 68.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 48.1% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.