Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -1350 TEM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -16.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -15.1 (+2.9) | 149.6 (-19.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | VILL -16.0 (+2.0) | 144.8 (-14.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | VILL -15.7 (+2.3) | 150.2 (-20.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -14.4 (+3.6) | 152.0 (-22.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | VILL 94 – 65 TEM |
| Nov 12, 2022 | TEM 68 – 64 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#61) | -1.2 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#93) | -0.22 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#87) | -0.10 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#95) | 0.478 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 44.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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