Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -5000 SOU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +17 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -23.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -18.3 (-1.3) | 151.9 (+21.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -22.9 (-5.9) | 149.8 (+23.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | ARIZ 97 – 59 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#12) | 1.3 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#141) | -0.43 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#113) | -0.58 (#202) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 71.7% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 61.1% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 82.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 27.0% | 36.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 56.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 35.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 66.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.