Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -700 ACU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -22.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -17.7 (+1.3) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -15.4 (+3.6) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2024 | TA&M 92 – 54 ACU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | TA&M 81 – 80 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#43) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#108) | 0.43 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#70) | 0.57 (#111) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 46.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 15.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.8% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 28.1% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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