Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -7500 ACU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +38 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -21.8 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -19.3 (+18.7) | 133.8 (+12.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -20.5 (+17.5) | 132.4 (+13.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -17.9 (+20.1) | 134.2 (+11.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -19.9 (+18.1) | 134.6 (+11.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | TA&M 77 – 58 ACU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | TA&M 81 – 80 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#38) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#16) | -0.15 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#14) | -0.13 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#10) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 17.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 44.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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