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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–15 on winners spread MAE 8.8 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Utah +9.9 141.1 81% 95–98 ✓
Rice @ Marshall +8.9 154.1 81% 72–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt +1.9 132.5 59% 68–79 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +6.3 128.9 73% 77–85 ✓
Fairfield @ Monmouth +6.5 143.5 76% 79–60 ✗
Bucknell @ Colgate +18.9 157.0 90% 75–105 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +3.5 142.7 66% 52–62 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +6.3 134.6 75% 70–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +6.0 148.1 71% 59–101 ✓
Nebraska @ Penn State +6.4 145.1 75% 66–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +12.6 140.8 85% 73–79 ✓
UTEP @ Florida Atlantic -2.4 135.9 40% 70–76 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +18.8 136.9 89% 64–91 ✓
California @ Stanford +7.5 134.3 76% 76–58 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +13.0 129.1 87% 56–76 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +8.4 155.5 80% 89–91 ✓
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +2.2 152.1 58% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ Maryland +2.5 131.4 60% 57–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +2.7 132.2 59% 69–72 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +7.3 138.5 77% 72–71 ✗
Temple @ South Florida -2.4 135.9 39% 71–73 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +1.9 134.2 58% 74–73 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah +7.9 142.2 79% 83–91 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +0.1 148.7 49% 85–63 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +13.2 142.2 87% 87–95 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +6.9 145.8 75% 75–79 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon +7.6 147.1 78% 73–91 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +7.5 139.7 77% 63–69 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +17.2 140.4 87% 68–74 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +9.2 139.9 81% 66–70 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +12.4 144.6 86% 66–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's -1.5 150.7 45% 77–69 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa +2.6 129.3 60% 77–70 ✗
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +8.5 144.5 81% 55–78 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State -1.7 129.1 42% 71–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +6.4 149.6 74% 63–74 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +5.2 128.2 69% 60–75 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis -4.4 136.0 33% 56–58 ✗
Oregon State @ UCLA +5.4 135.5 70% 83–79 ✗
Nevada @ Boise State +5.2 144.3 68% 89–82 ✗
Butler @ Creighton +9.5 136.4 80% 56–87 ✓
Morgan State @ Florida A&M -5.2 136.8 28% 77–75 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -2.8 155.8 36% 79–82 ✗
Oklahoma @ Kansas +6.8 138.1 75% 62–69 ✓
Duke @ Florida State +3.0 153.1 63% 0–1 ✓
UTSA @ Western Kentucky +4.9 148.9 72% 67–80 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers +1.0 133.6 53% 50–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.