Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -200 ORST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -6.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -5.4 (-9.4) | 135.5 (+26.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.4 (-8.4) | 130.6 (+31.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -5.1 (-9.1) | 135.4 (+26.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -5.4 (-9.4) | 136.0 (+26.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | UCLA 67 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCLA 69 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | UCLA 62 – 47 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCLA 94 – 55 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#47) | 4.1 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#45) | 0.94 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#40) | 1.46 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#34) | 0.509 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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