Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Bartow Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread PV -26.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total PV win
Actual PV +27 155 Won
Massey PV -29.1 (-2.1) — —
Massey Totals — 139.7 (+15.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PV -18.8 (+8.2) 136.9 (+18.1) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PV -17.7 (+9.3) 136.3 (+18.7) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PV -23.7 (+3.3) 138.5 (+16.5) 89% ✓
Baseline ML PV -23.7 (+3.3) 135.4 (+19.6) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 PV 72 – 62 MVSU
Jan 10, 2026 PV 70 – 69 MVSU
Feb 25, 2025 PV 64 – 56 MVSU
Jan 12, 2025 PV 74 – 65 MVSU
Feb 27, 2024 MVSU 57 – 51 PV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PV MVSU
Overall 16-5 2-22
Conference 13-0 2-13
Home 8-0 1-5
Away 5-3 1-16
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.3 56.8
Avg Pts Against 64.2 87.4
Massey -4.3 (#239) -33.4 (#349)
Bradley-Terry 0.45 (#133) -3.61 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#186) -5.52 (#348)
RPI 0.532 (#108) 0.396 (#331)
Shooting & Four Factors PV MVSU
FG% 45.3% 35.7%
3PT% 30.2% 33.2%
REB / G 34.2 30.8
OREB / G 10.6 6.7
AST / TO 1.17 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 43.7%
TOV% 20.4% 24.5%
ORB% 30.3% 17.4%
FT Rate 17.9% 13.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 26.7% 14.6%
DRB% 68.7% 64.2%
Opp FT Rate 28.6% 22.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.