Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -250 RID +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -6.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -5.2 (+9.8) | 128.2 (+6.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -4.0 (+11.0) | 126.8 (+8.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -4.4 (+10.6) | 130.6 (+4.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -5.1 (+9.9) | 128.4 (+6.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | -7.8 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#174) | -1.18 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#173) | -1.44 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#155) | 0.456 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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