Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -225 NEB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -7.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -6.4 (-0.4) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -5.8 (+0.2) | 144.7 (-6.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -7.1 (-1.1) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -5.6 (+0.4) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEB 87 – 64 PSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU 89 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NEB 68 – 49 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NEB 72 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU 76 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 3-16 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#39) | 4.0 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#56) | 0.30 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#36) | 0.85 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#92) | 0.467 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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