Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -700 BUCK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +30 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -20.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -18.9 (+11.1) | 157.0 (+23.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.8 (+13.2) | 158.3 (+21.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -19.3 (+10.7) | 158.4 (+21.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -19.7 (+10.3) | 155.6 (+24.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Game Analysis
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