UC Santa Barbara
Gauchos
95
–
87
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Big West Conference
Long Beach State
Beach
Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -800 LBSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +8 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -15.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -13.2 (-5.2) | 142.2 (+39.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -12.5 (-4.5) | 140.9 (+41.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -14.2 (-6.2) | 141.5 (+40.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -13.0 (-5.0) | 141.9 (+40.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-5 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 4-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#81) | -7.8 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | -1.08 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#76) | -1.36 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#32) | 0.422 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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