I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Marshall Thundering Herd
68 – 72
FINAL Neutral C-USA Championship
Rice Owls
Ford Center At The Star (Neutral) · March 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -9.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money MRSH -450 / RICE +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRSH win
Actual RICE +4 140 Lost
Massey MRSH -9.5 (-13.5) — —
Massey Totals — 159.4 (-19.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -6.8 (-10.8) 151.5 (-11.5) 76% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -8.9 (-12.9) 154.1 (-14.1) 81% ✗
Baseline ML MRSH -8.5 (-12.5) 153.2 (-13.2) 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -8.6 (-12.6) 153.5 (-13.5) 80% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2022 RICE 87 – 77 MRSH

Game Analysis

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