Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +10 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -1.9 (-11.9) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -0.2 (-9.8) | 155.4 (+8.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.5 (-9.5) | 155.2 (+8.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -0.1 (-10.1) | 154.4 (+9.6) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2021 | RICE 72 – 68 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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