Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -333 WASH +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +3 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -9.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+51.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -9.9 (-6.9) | 141.1 (+51.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -7.5 (-4.5) | 138.2 (+54.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.4 (-7.4) | 141.2 (+51.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -9.3 (-6.3) | 141.1 (+51.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#102) | -0.53 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#90) | -0.52 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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