I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
61 – 50
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Ten
Indiana Hoosiers
Big Ten Conference · Lucas Oil Stadium (Neutral) · March 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.5 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money RUTG -125 / IU +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +11 111 Won
Massey RUTG -0.9 (+10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (-23.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) 133.6 (-22.6) 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -0.4 (+10.6) 132.1 (-21.1) 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) 134.8 (-23.8) 53% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -1.1 (+9.9) 132.1 (-21.1) 57% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 IU 82 – 59 RUTG
Jan 3, 2025 IU 84 – 74 RUTG
Jan 10, 2024 RUTG 66 – 57 IU
Feb 7, 2023 IU 66 – 60 RUTG
Dec 3, 2022 RUTG 63 – 48 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG IU
Overall 16-12 12-15
Conference 10-10 7-12
Home 10-4 6-6
Away 4-6 3-7
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 69.2 69.7
Avg Pts Against 67.6 69.4
Massey 11.8 (#33) 10.9 (#43)
Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#32) 1.75 (#53)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.95 (#26) 2.52 (#47)
RPI 0.561 (#61) 0.526 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG IU
FG% 45.2% 43.5%
3PT% 31.6% 33.1%
REB / G 35.8 34.6
OREB / G 10.0 9.0
AST / TO 1.24 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 48.9%
TOV% 16.4% 17.2%
ORB% 27.7% 25.5%
FT Rate 17.3% 28.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 17.8%
DRB% 71.4% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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