Tulsa
Golden Hurricane
70
–
77
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Tulane
Green Wave
Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -163 TULN +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -3.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -2.6 (-9.6) | 129.3 (+17.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -1.3 (-8.3) | 127.1 (+19.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -2.1 (-9.1) | 128.6 (+18.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -2.6 (-9.6) | 129.3 (+17.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | TLSA 90 – 56 TULN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TULN 79 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TULN 59 – 56 TLSA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | TULN 94 – 87 TLSA |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TLSA 81 – 79 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#126) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#112) | 0.10 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#126) | 0.30 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#180) | 0.456 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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