Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -550 TLSA +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -12.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -9.4 (-6.4) | 141.9 (-26.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -10.0 (-7.0) | 145.8 (-30.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -10.1 (-7.1) | 144.3 (-29.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -9.9 (-6.9) | 141.8 (-26.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | TLSA 90 – 56 TULN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TULN 79 – 77 TLSA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | TULN 94 – 87 TLSA |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TLSA 81 – 79 TULN |
| Jan 5, 2023 | TULN 93 – 77 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#135) | -7.4 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#204) | -1.46 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -1.67 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#216) | 0.396 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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