Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -600 MINN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -7.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.9 (-2.9) | 145.8 (+8.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.8 (-0.8) | 143.0 (+11.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -5.8 (-1.8) | 146.1 (+7.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.2 (-2.2) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#9) | 8.5 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#12) | 1.65 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#7) | 2.44 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#23) | 0.508 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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