Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KU -125 OU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | KU -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.8 (+0.2) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.8 (+2.2) | 137.0 (-6.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.6 (+1.4) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.7 (+0.3) | 133.8 (-2.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | KU 67 – 57 OU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KU 78 – 66 OU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KU 78 – 55 OU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KU 79 – 75 OU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | KU 71 – 69 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#22) | 12.0 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#7) | 2.28 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#14) | 2.57 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#20) | 0.573 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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