Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +200 MORG -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -5.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -5.2 (+3.2) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -4.7 (+2.7) | 137.6 (+14.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.4 (+3.4) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -4.4 (+2.4) | 137.3 (+14.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.