Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -175 NEV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -5.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -5.2 (-12.2) | 144.3 (+26.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.1 (-11.1) | 142.3 (+28.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.9 (-11.9) | 144.7 (+26.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.6 (-11.6) | 143.8 (+27.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#50) | 4.8 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#49) | 0.98 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#56) | 1.08 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#14) | 0.539 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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