Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -225 HCU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -3.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-33.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -3.5 (+6.5) | 142.7 (-28.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -2.8 (+7.2) | 142.5 (-28.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.8 (+6.2) | 143.2 (-29.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -3.7 (+6.3) | 140.7 (-26.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 6-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Home | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 81.1 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#313) | -13.6 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#327) | -2.93 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#326) | -3.86 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#303) | 0.403 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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