Northwestern State
Demons
82
–
79
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
LSU New Orleans
Privateers
Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | NWST +150 NOLA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -3.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.8 (+5.8) | 155.8 (+5.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -2.7 (+5.7) | 153.5 (+7.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -3.0 (+6.0) | 156.1 (+4.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -2.7 (+5.7) | 154.9 (+6.1) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#314) | -7.2 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#320) | -2.11 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#327) | -2.73 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#255) | 0.432 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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