Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +100 TA&M +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -3.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -1.9 (+9.1) | 132.5 (+14.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -1.6 (+9.4) | 130.1 (+16.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -2.4 (+8.6) | 132.2 (+14.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -1.9 (+9.1) | 132.1 (+14.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VAN 82 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VAN 86 – 84 TA&M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VAN 74 – 73 TA&M |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TA&M 87 – 75 VAN |
| Jan 29, 2023 | TA&M 72 – 66 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 2-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#102) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | 0.57 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#122) | 0.45 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#228) | 0.487 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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