Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OU -700 ISU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | OU -14.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -12.6 (-6.6) | 140.8 (+11.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -11.4 (-5.4) | 141.3 (+10.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -12.9 (-6.9) | 141.3 (+10.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -12.3 (-6.3) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#32) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#29) | -1.41 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#45) | -1.54 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#48) | 0.447 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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