Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -275 UNCO +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +8 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -7.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -7.9 (+0.1) | 142.2 (+31.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.2 (+1.8) | 141.3 (+32.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -7.7 (+0.3) | 142.4 (+31.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -7.4 (+0.6) | 143.4 (+30.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | UNCO 100 – 95 SUU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | UNCO 91 – 81 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Home | 14-0 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#131) | -5.0 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#95) | -1.45 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#113) | -2.12 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#62) | 0.445 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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